Right now, the National Hurricane Center says it's monitoring an area of interest in the western Caribbean Sea where disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a tropical wave.Sign up for our NewslettersCurrently located to the south of Hispaniola,

The National Hurricane Center on Monday increased its forecast odds a Caribbean system will develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

Some of the models suggest that Rafael may even do a small loop out in the Gulf. Meanwhile, a trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms to the area but has a low chance of development over the next week.

Rain, tropical-storm-force winds and even the potential for some tornadoes are possible for some portions of Florida with Hurricane Rafael.

Rafael weakened overnight into a tropical storm and continues taking a westerly path. A system near the Bahamas could bring heavy rains to that area.